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Archive for the ‘Statistical Analysis’ Category

The major league baseball postseason is often referred to as a “crapshoot”, but is there any method to the madness that ends with a World Series champion? Are teams with a better record more likely to win in October, or is run differential a better barometer of postseason success? What about teams that are hot […]

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Playing .500 on the road while cleaning up at home has long been a prescription for success in baseball. No wonder the 2014 Yankees have been such a failure.  With only 10 home games remaining, the Bronx Bombers are at the threshold of their first losing season at Yankee Stadium since 1991, and the offense […]

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Major league baseball has achieved competitive balance. Whether you choose to call it parity or mediocrity, the difference between the best and worst teams in the league has seldom been so narrow. Max/Min Winning Percentage Comparison, 2001 to 2014 Note: 2014 data is as of the August 25, 2014. Source: Baseball-reference.com (data) and proprietary calculations. […]

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The Yankees made several questionable decisions during the offseason. Signing Brett Gardner to a contract extension wasn’t one of them. At the time, locking the speedy outfielder up for four additional years seemed like a low risk move, but with Gardner emerging as the Yankees’ best position player, the long-term deal looks better and better […]

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Because of injuries, the Yankees’ pitching staff has been widely regarded as the area in most need of improvement. And yet, even with three starters currently on the DL and no timetable for their return, the rotation has more than held its own. However, the same can’t be said about the offense. After last night’s […]

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What you think of the Yankees’ pitching staff probably depends on the statistic used for evaluation. By traditional measures, the Bronx Bombers’ pitchers are decidedly mediocre, while more advanced metrics place them among the best in the league. What explains this divergence? And what does the variance portend? In terms of runs allowed per game, […]

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The Yankees have one of the worst run differentials in the major leagues, but still sit atop their division after 30 games. This unique juxtaposition is the result of some good luck and a very mediocre A.L. East. Can the Yankees count on these trends continuing throughout the year, or, will the division turn itself […]

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